hoyt31786 wrote:greenhorndave wrote:hoyt31786 wrote:I feel this could be two fold as well. If your always chasing fresh sign what if that bucks only in that spot for one day that was the day he left the sign. Possibly hes only there for a couple of days window and maybe your hunting the sign when that was his last day there and hes moving on. Thats why i think its key knowing historical tendencies in areas. If you know when sign should start showing up then maybe on a sit your better off knowing the sign isnt there yet but is going to be if that makes sense. So in theory your not hunting the sign thats there but the sign the days its actually made. So if i walk in to a spot and dont find any fresh sign i dont totally throw it out so may think thats wasting a sit but ive also killed bucks in areas degoid of sign and in my head i think its aleays catching those deer in that window. The pressured public i hunt they move around alot. Ive also set up on fresh sign and have found that what im assuming is just missing the timing. I wouldnt say camp out in an area until the sign shows up but keep in mind that from one day to the next things can change drastically. I think cameras help but every picture you get even in real time if you think about it is history. I think its more about knowing a bucks next move in advanceinstead of trying to catch up with him.
Good points. The
why they are there aspect. Actually, it might correlate to the concept of “stacking” bedding areas, correct? They get pushed there. So sign is weak and the next time in the same spot it’s hot.
I think it might be somewhat consistent with this overall thread. What I take away is set up if it’s hot; if not don’t set up, but don’t write it off for the whole season necessarily. Spot check it, the. set up if/when it’s hot. Either way, keeping data on time of year, time of day, wind, local food sources, etc., is vital to know when timing might be right for subsequent years.
Am I on the right track?
Yes i agree most the time cant go wrong hunting hot sign when its hot! I guess i just never throw all my eggs in one basket. Mainly i wont let a spot devoid of sign keep me from throwing a sit at it would be my main point. I dont wanna be a step behind a buck but rather a step ahead. Dont just look at sign as oh hes here this is the spot. Spend some time analyzing the sign and like you said ask ,when, why, and is there a chance hes still here.Try to predict his next move before he makes it.
Historical data is extremely important to me. I’ve got time frames for a lot of my spots. Some I know I need to be there early season, some I know heat up pre-rut, and some see the most big buck activity during late season.
That all stems from in season scouting and what I have/haven’t seen while hunting. It takes a few years and some boot leather (or cam intel as already mentioned) to figure it out.
So I try and in season scout the property, and often specific early season bedding or pressured bedding within it, when history tells me I should be there.
In my mind, if you’re not finding hot sign, setting up on some bedding anyway (outside of rut) is somewhat of a waste for me. I can either sit it and have next to no chance of killing a target buck, or keep scouting and not kill one. If I keep scouting I will learn more.
That said, going along with what Hoyt said about being a step behind, I have a perfect example of this. My dad lives on a small refuge (city limits). It’s small and the edge gets goose hunted hard so the deer act like pressured deer. When he first bought it we ran a cam in a funnel along the lake for fun. After years of intel, each year early November a good buck would come through in daylight. The overwhelming majority of the time it would be ONCE. If we were able to hunt it and waited for a big one to show, we’d likely never kill one.
In that situation, historical data tells you what to do. Give it a couple sits early November and hope the stars align. That is the highest odds approach.